2021年8月20日无惧量化群记录,继续做空,做多大赚,顶底全部正确,有图有真相

2021年8月8日无惧量化笔记

我对量化信号继续做了几点重要改进:第一,将部分半仓做多影子仓位纳为重仓做多仓位,这样做的微小的副作用是重仓做多成功率从99%下降到95%,但是可以大幅提高复利增长的收益率和速度。第二,加入半仓做空影子仓位,即在某些条件下在全仓做空和半仓做空之间都可以用快速概率信号控制,进一步加强做空回报率。第三,再用hybrid方法综合所有可能,达到平均最优。

第一点改进的可以参考道德经里的一段哲学论述:天之道,其犹张弓与?高者抑下,下者举之,有余者损之,不足者补之。天之道,损有余而补不足。人之道,则不然,损不足以奉有余。

第二点的改进仍然我认为前段时间很多人已经害怕做空,但是我觉得市场未来可能脾气会改变,未来几个月或者几年做空仍然是可以尝试的,现在由快速概率信号控制,安全程度会高一些。

第三点改进的原因是市场不一定去可以给我们想要的,不能依赖任何一个最好的方法,寸有所长,尺有所短,平衡和中庸,最好的未必永远是最好的,甚至可能不再出现。

最后一点评价,量化系统不是百分百。系统一定会有出错的时候,尤其做空。因为市场可以做任何事情,可能系统没有市场聪明发生错误,可能市场愚蠢但是系统聪明而系统错误,另外市场有隐藏信息,我们所能做的,就是一直按部就班,生死不惧,好的时候要伤心,不好的时候要乐观。而不是好的时候激动,不好的时候郁闷,这些是交易成功的最大的绊脚石。克服自己内心深处的郁闷和焦虑,无感情交易才能长期努力成功。

VIP群实盘逃顶抄底信号

2021年下半年微信群实盘交易:

2021年7月微信公众号文章如下

https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/vKLXYx0PyiLsP8luT6e8EQ

2020年2月份逃大顶信号:

2020年3月份抄大底信号:

2020年6月份逃顶信号:

2020年9月份逃顶信号:

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2020年9月份抄底信号:

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